DU
Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 was weak on refining margins but showed progress on strategic priorities: adjusted net loss was $144.4M ($-2.32 per share) and adjusted EBITDA was $26.5M; GAAP net loss was $172.7M ($-2.78 per share). Logistics delivered record adjusted EBITDA ($116.5M), partially offsetting refining losses .
- Revenue of $2.642B modestly beat Wall Street consensus ($2.628B) and adjusted EPS beat consensus ($-2.32 vs $-2.43), while EBITDA missed materially, reflecting lower crack spreads and seasonal headwinds; CFO highlighted sequential EBITDA improvement versus Q4 due to stronger refining margins and throughput . Values for estimates retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Management raised EOP confidence to “at least $120M” run‑rate cash flow improvement in 2H’25 (from $80–$120M prior) and executed intercompany transactions that pro forma increase DKL third‑party EBITDA to ~80% and unlock >$250M of consolidated liquidity—advancing midstream deconsolidation .
- Capital returns continued: ~$32M DK buybacks and $0.255/share dividend ($15.9M total) in Q1; liquidity remained solid with $623.8M cash and net debt of $2.41B (ex‑DKL net debt: $267.9M) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Logistics posted another record quarter: Adjusted EBITDA rose to $116.5M (vs $99.7M YoY), aided by W2W dropdown and H2O/Gravity acquisitions; DKL reiterated FY25 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $480–$520M and began commissioning Libby 2 .
- Strategic progress on SOTP/deconsolidation: intercompany agreements increase DKL third‑party cash flows to ~80% and unlock >$250M of consolidated financial availability; “We remain confident that we will complete the DKL deconsolidation…that will create value” (CEO) .
- EOP traction: management now expects “at least ~$120 million” run‑rate improvement in 2H’25; operational upgrades (e.g., Tyler alky upgrade +500 bpd of high‑value products; El Dorado capture rate improvement ~$0.80/bbl in Q1) underpin margin capture gains .
What Went Wrong
- Refining profitability deteriorated due to lower crack spreads (benchmarks down ~29.8% YoY); refining adjusted EBITDA fell to $(27.4)M vs $110.1M YoY; total production margin per bbl dropped to $5.75 from $12.55 YoY .
- Corporate/Other adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $(62.2)M (vs $(58.2)M YoY), driven by W2W dropdown impacts and restructuring/transaction costs .
- Supply & marketing posted a $(23.7)M loss (seasonal wholesale and asphalt weakness), though trends improved into Q2 amid stronger group differentials (management commentary) .
Financial Results
Consolidated Results vs Prior Periods
Values with an asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Adjusted EBITDA
Refining KPIs
Per‑Refinery Performance (Q1)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are excited about the progress we are making with our EOP and expect to deliver cash flow improvements of at least ~$120 million by 2H’2025.” — Avigal Soreq, CEO .
- “The transactions also improved financial liquidity at DK by around $250 million...and increase DKL’s third‑party cash flow to around 80%.” — Avigal Soreq, CEO .
- “Delek Logistics is on track to meet its strong 2025 EBITDA guidance of $480 million to $520 million.” — Avigal Soreq, CEO .
- “Tyler...upgrade allows us to increase production of high‑value products by approximately 500 barrels per day...El Dorado...achieved approximately $0.80 per barrel of improvements...on track to achieve the $2 per barrel annual rate.” — Joseph Israel, EVP Ops .
- “Cash flow from operations was a use of $62 million...investing includes ~$180 million paid at the closing of the Gravity acquisition and PP&E additions of $136 million.” — Mark Hobbs, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- DKL guidance and Permian outlook: Management reiterated FY25 DKL EBITDA and detailed strong Midland water and Delaware gas/sour gas positioning supporting volumes despite macro uncertainty .
- Capital returns: Balanced approach among dividends, buybacks and balance sheet; conviction to repurchase through cycles given valuation .
- Supply/marketing trajectory: Structural EOP initiatives drove ~$10M improvement despite weak seasonal conditions; Q2 started strong in group diffs and improving asphalt .
- SRE path: Pursuing retroactive relief back to 2019 (~$300M for 2019–2020 compliance) and forward‑looking exemptions; management optimistic on EPA outcomes .
- EOP upside: Potential to exceed the $120M run‑rate; additional projects in execution pipeline .
- OpEx clarity: Q2 OpEx guided higher mainly from throughput increases and new plant operations; expectation to improve OpEx per barrel into H2’25 .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes: Q1 2025 saw modest beats on revenue and adjusted EPS, but a significant miss on EBITDA reflecting weak cracks and seasonal wholesale/asphalt headwinds. Q4 2024 was broadly in line on EBITDA and ahead on adjusted EPS despite weak margins .*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Logistics strength is durable and growing; DKL’s reiterated FY25 guidance, Libby 2 commissioning, and sour gas capability support cash flows and distribution growth—an ongoing offset to refining cyclicality .
- EOP has tangible traction and is now targeted at “at least $120M” run‑rate cash flow uplift in 2H’25; expect incremental margin capture (El Dorado, Tyler upgrades) and lower core G&A as catalysts for estimate revisions .
- Intercompany transactions accelerate SOTP execution and midstream deconsolidation, increasing third‑party EBITDA (~80%) and unlocking ~$250M consolidated liquidity; this supports balance sheet flexibility and potential valuation re‑rating .
- Near‑term trading lens: Q2 guides imply higher throughput and OpEx tied to capacity utilization and nat gas; with improving rack/netbacks and seasonal upward move in cracks, refining profitability should trend better sequentially .
- SRE optionality is material (retroactive and forward); if realized, it could meaningfully improve cash flows and reduce RFS burden—watch for EPA developments as a potential catalyst .
- Capital allocation remains shareholder‑friendly (buybacks, maintained dividend) while preserving liquidity; DK repurchased ~$32M of shares and declared $0.255 dividend in Q1 .
- Monitor Q2 execution vs guidance (throughput, OpEx per barrel) and ongoing EOP milestones (El Dorado capture rate to $2/bbl run‑rate) for confirmation of margin expansion trajectory .
Additional Notes
- Liquidity: Cash $623.8M; consolidated long‑term debt $3,035.3M; net debt $2,411.5M; ex‑DKL net debt $267.9M .
- Non‑GAAP adjustments: Other inventory impact (+$26.2M), restructuring costs (+$8.4M), transaction costs (+$3.5M), and updated inclusion of RINs fair value adjustments; reconciliations provided in release .
- Other Q1 press releases: None identified beyond the 8‑K furnished press release (EX‑99.1); earnings call slide deck furnished as EX‑99.2 .